| 赵伟,王丽强.新时期中国城乡差距的综合测度及演变趋势研究——基于2003-2013年的省级面板数据[J].井冈山大学社科版,2016,(2):48-56 |
| 新时期中国城乡差距的综合测度及演变趋势研究——基于2003-2013年的省级面板数据 |
| Comprehensive Measurement and Evolution Trend of Urban-rural Gap in China Today: based on province-level panel data between 2003 and 2013 |
| 投稿时间：2015-09-10 |
| DOI：10.3969/j.issn.1674-8107.2016.02.009 |
| 中文关键词: 城乡差距 全局主成分(GPCA) 门限回归 |
| 英文关键词: urban-rural gap GPCA threshold regression |
| 基金项目:国家社科基金项目“城市偏向、市场选择、社会资本与中国城乡经济关系演进”(项目编号:09CJL013);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目“城市群效率测度及基于效率取向的中部地区城市群发展战略研究”(项目编号:2010xxjc36) |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 研究发现, 自2003年到2013年, 我国各地的城乡差距均有显著的缩小。不同地区缩小幅度不同, 经济发达地区明显好于经济欠发达地区。经济发展水平对城乡差距的影响呈现非线性, 人均GDP为9 295元与2 8843元时发生了转折。在第一阶段经济发展倾向于拉大城乡差距, 在第二阶段会明显地缩小城乡差距, 而第三阶段数据显示其缩小效果有一定的减弱。我国在2011年完全跨过了“倒U型”拐点, 城乡差距已经处于持续缩小的趋势。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| This paper sets up an index system for measurement of urban-rural gap in China today, and makes measurements and assessment of the gaps through global principal components analysis (GPCA) method and analyzes the evolution trend of the gap through threshold regression. The research finds that urban-rural gaps in different Chinese regions has been remarkably narrowed from 2003 to 2013. The gap was narrowed to different extents in various regions, and economically developed area apparently better than economically underdeveloped region. The economic development level has a non-linear influence on urban-rural gap, which turns at points of GDP per capita of RMB 9295 and GDP per capita RMB 28843. In the first stage, economic development tends to enlarge the gap, and in the second stage it apparently narrows the gap, while in the third stage the narrowing extent is certainly diminished. In 2011 China completely surpassed the "Inverse U" inflection, after which the urban-rural gap has been in constant narrowing trend. |
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